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September 29, 2008


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Polls are only effective if they do two things: use a truely representitive sample and collect information that accurately predicts what voters will do.
Polls that collect information from only urban areas could be the cause of the Bradely Effect. Polls that are too long or worded in a confusing or slanted manner could also show very different results from actual voting.
In a sense, polling is a branch of testing and seems to be a hit and miss proposition to me because there really is no way to test the reliability of a poll until an election is over and then no one seems to want to minutely pick it apart and check to see how well it matched voters motivations and choices even if it did correctly predict a winner.

Is it possible, that Obama's lead could evaporate on election day because of Bradley-Wilder effect? Or nowadays Americans are significantly less reluctant to vote for an African-American? Vote here - http://www.votetheday.com/america/secret-racism-will-subvert-obamas-advantage-333

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